Julia Giese

DPhil candidate in Economics, University of Oxford       

Publications

MPhil Thesis, 2005:

“Level, Slope, Curvature: Characterising the Yield Curve”, linear and non-linear cointegrated VAR models are used to assess the stationarity of the curve’s derivatives and their interpretations.

Published papers:

·        “Putting Economists to Work”, Oxonomics, Vol. 1, Issue 1, 2006. www.economics.ox.ac.uk/oxonomics/online.htm

Unpublished papers:

·        “Level, Slope, Curvature: Characterising the Yield Curve in a Cointegrated VAR Model”, Economics Discussion Papers, No 2008-13. www.economics-ejournal.org/economics/discussionpapers/2008-13

·        Characterising the Yield Curve’s Derivatives in a Regime-Changing Cointegrated VAR Model”, manuscript, December 2006.

·        “Temporal Aggregation in a Cointegrated VAR: Evidence from Simulations and the US Yield Curve”, manuscript, April 2007.

·        “Global Liquidity, Asset Prices and Monetary Policy: Evidence from Cointegrated VAR Models”, manuscript, November 2007 (with Christin K. Tuxen). Part of the paper previously appeared in: Proceedings – Conference in Honour of David F. Hendry, Oxford, August 2007, under the title: “Global Liquidity and Asset Prices in a Cointegrated VAR”. www.economics.ox.ac.uk/hendryconference/papers.htm

Other publications:

·        The Business of Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities, Lehman Brothers, February 2007 (with John Llewellyn and Camille Chaix). www.lehman.com/who/intcapital

·        “A wider spread”, Damocles, Lehman Brothers, 24 May 2006 (with Paul Sheard).

·        “Global Focus: Global liquidity and risk premia”, Global Weekly Economic Monitor, Lehman Brothers, 24 March 2006 (with Michael Dicks).

·        “Global Letter: After the flood”, Global Weekly Economic Monitor, Lehman Brothers, 24 March 2006 (with John Llewellyn).

·        “Global Letter: Dragon under pressure”, Global Weekly Economic Monitor, Lehman Brothers, 24 February 2006 (with John Llewellyn).

·        Europe Focus: Shadowing the ECB”, Global Weekly Economic Monitor, Lehman Brothers, 17 February 2006 (with Peter Newland).

·        “Global Letter:  Over to you”, Global Weekly Economic Monitor, Lehman Brothers, 27 January 2006 (with John Llewellyn).

·        “One year on: a 2005 forecast post-mortem”, Outlook 2006: Plain Sailing – for now, Lehman Brothers, 12 December 2005.

·        “Risk remains generally low, so far”, Damocles, Lehman Brothers, 9 November 2005 (with John Llewellyn).