Template-type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Vassili Bazinas Author-Workplace-Name: Dept of Economics Oxford University Author-Name: Bent Nielsen Author-Workplace-Name: Dept of Economics, Institute for Economic Modeling at the Oxford Martin School, Oxford University Author-Email: bent.nielsen@nuffield.ox.ac.uk. Title: Causal transmission in reduced-form models Abstract: We propose a method to explore the causal transmission of a catalyst variable through two endogenous variables of interest. The method is based on the reduced-form system formed from the conditional distribution of the two endogenous variables given the catalyst. The method combines elements from instru- mental variable analysis and Cholesky decomposition of structural vector autoregressions. We give conditions for uniqueness of the causal transmission. X-Classification-JEL: X-Keywords: Length: 22 pages Creation-Date: 2015-07-13 Number: 2015-W07 File-URL: http://www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/economics/papers/2015/Causality2015.pdf File-Format: application/pdf Handle: RePEc:nuf:econwp:1507